Let's see if we can't tie up April tonight, and then we can move on. There are one or two topics I want to explore properly and sooner rather than later, one revolving around one of the services I subscribed to not so long ago. I covered the services that I had things to say about the night before last anyway, so I can keep it brief with the remainder.
PJA NH: Staked 51.75pts, -4.036pts, roi -7.8% (Staked 237.5pts, -42.689pts, roi -17.97%). Not been a good 2011 so far, obviously. Signs of a return to form though and the record would look a touch better as I missed a 13/2 winner (plus a couple of losers so not a huge discrepancy). The AW and Flat services are going well, I believe. Let's hope the NH follows suit.
Northern Monkey: Staked 28.25pts, +3.558pts, roi 12.59% (Staked 126.25pts, -6.35pts, roi -5.03%). Still not quite reached overall profit with Northern Monkey but I'm sure it's only a matter of time. Good, solid month. Not much more to say.
On The Nose: Staked 46.25pts, -4.441pts, -9.6% (Staked 192.5pts, +42.922pts, roi 22.29%). Nondescript month. Great year to date.
And the football/sports...
Football Elite: Staked 12pts, -1.64pts, roi -13.66% (Staked 60pts, -12.266pts, roi -20.44%). Let's hope the antepost bets are landed to rescue something from a relatively poor season. Still a mainstay for next season.
Strike Zone: Staked 19pts, +4.593pts, roi 24.17% (Staked 100pts, +13.34pts, roi 13.34%). Great month. Considered raising the stakes bearing in mind the very high strike rate, but if I did so I would end up staking considerably more than the other football services and I don't want that imbalance. ROI is beginning to get seriously healthy.
Football Investor: Staked 68pts, +23.019pts, roi 33.85% (Staked 277pts, +22.854pts, roi 8.25%). Brilliant month and that's with me missing out on about five points from a couple of days missed. Had had a concern about getting the bets on on the Friday night next season, but with the sharing of the workload, no longer a problem.
Skeeve: Staked 22pts, -18pts, roi -81.81% (Staked 301pts, +55.847pts, roi 18.55%). Due a poor month. Got one. Easy to forgive. Looking forward to next season, although it will be without the late BSS service as it is being discontinued, I believe.
The Sportsman: Staked 1.15pts, +0.682pts, roi 59.3% (Staked 6.348pts, +2.331pts, roi 36.72%). Coming strong now after a bit of a standstill first half of the season. Nice high strike rate and really enjoying it at present.
The Football Analyst: Staked 14pts, -12.333pts, roi -88.09%. Only one word relevant here..."Draw". Been a nightmare month for Graeme but really, I know luck should even itself out, but it certainly didn't in the space of this month. Definite place in the portfolio next season but will leave Graeme to his research over the summer before deciding on strategy.
Sportyy: Staked £950, -£185.14, roi -19.48%. My biggest fear re. Sportyy was getting anywhere decent odds on the picks. I averaged 95% of the recommended price, which I'm more than happy with.
And that's it. I know these end of month reviews perhaps aren't everybody's cup of tea. If anyone has any strong feelings either for or against, leave a comment. Things can be changed, you know.
Today's Action
Better than yesterday. ProBandit played in two races and found the winner of each (Lily's Angel - Chester - 7/4, York Glory - Southwell - 5/4). Northern Monkey had just the one bet (given yesterday) which was Overturn (11/2), the impressive winner of the Chester Cup. Chasemaster called one from three right (Devil Water - Kelso - 5/1). PJA NH had no winners (but one placed) from two, and On The Nose managed no return from two.
ProBandit: Staked 1.75pts, +1.787pts.
Northern Monkey: Staked 1pt, +3.337pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.625pts, +0.406pts.
PJA NH: Staked 1.5pts, -1pt.
On The Nose: Staked 2pts, -2pts.
Total profit on the racing of £110.75.
Sportyy gave two tennis picks today, one of which won for a small profit.
Sportyy: Staked £106, +£12.95.
Total profit on the sports of £12.95.
Wednesday 4th May: Staked £316, +£123.70.
Week to date: Staked £818, -£24.20.
Month to date: Staked £1,178, +£23.93, roi 2.03%.
Only one comment. Sportyy's yield is well out of line with what can realistically be expected from the sports that he bets on. 10% ROI is really the maximum (very) long term that he will achieve. At some point there will be a correction - I hope that I am not proven to be correct, but I am (unfortunately) sure that I will be.
ReplyDeleteHi Rowan,
ReplyDeleteGood to see you back in action. Why should Helen do all the work, right?
As far as my service is concerned, yes, there will be no additional 'late BSS' service next season (more on that in the season review I already started working on), but we'll have the shortlist picks for everyone who wants more bets to play with and generate profit from. 104 shortlist picks would've produced +11.9 point profit at one-point flat stakes this season, that's 11.4% ROI - maybe not as good as the official ROI which is currently at 14.1% (both this season and long-term), but still good enough I think and I'll be putting my money where my mouth is next season. The main service will still produce as many bets as this season of course, around 150.
I hate to admit it because I know I need a proper vacation, but I'm already looking forward to the 2011/12 season as well.
cheers,
skeeve
Hi MH,
ReplyDeleteYep, I agree with you completely - a long term roi of 10% is good going, and I would be pleased with that. The beginning of the correction could have been April, my first month of following with cash, as the figures weren't great! But if we can get a 10% roi with a high strike rate....that'll do me nicely.
Rowan
Hi Skeeve,
ReplyDeleteYeah - it's either doing the blog or the ironing. I'd rather sit and type!
You must be very pleased with how the season has gone. The shortlist picks are interesting - an roi over 11% is not to be sniffed at. There are a few services I could think of who would love a performance like that over the last nine months or so.
Enjoy your holiday when you get it. Got mine coming up at the end of this month and can't wait. Thankfully away for the Champions League final - when you live 15 miles south of Manchester and don't support United, best to be away from friends and work colleagues, just in case they win the damn thing. When they won the treble, the parade went right past our office which is on a main route into Manchester. I went home at lunchtime, ruing Denis Bergkamp's missed penalty in the FA Cup semi-final like I've never rued anything before.
Anyway, I digress. Have a great holiday when it comes and roll on August!
Cheers,
Rowan