Thursday, 11 August 2011

A note of caution.

Got my new laptop. Lost my wife for six months at Her Majesty's insistence. Good result all ways around!

Something said in an email that someone sent to me yesterday gave me reason to pause for thought. It was noted that after what has been a challenging year to date on the horses, and what was a challenging second half to the football season betting-wise between January and May, we were perhaps due a nice spell of profit making. Certainly he and I shared a sense of optimism, encouraged as we are by the imminent return of football betting as a major part of our gambling operations. I blogged last Friday how giddy I was at getting on the Football Elite bet for the weekend and I'm just wondering if this feeling of positivity is a just a touch OTT and needs toning down a tad.

This irrational positivity is the same emotion as that experienced when a poor month has finally ended. It's completely illogical I know, but when this happens I can't help but think that the new month is a fresh start, that things will get better from this point. Utter rot, of course. So in the same way as I'm optimistic for Arsenal's chances over the course of the new season despite selling off all of their better players it seems (and on that point, think I might get a run out?), I'm incredibly optimistic about cleaning up on the footie over the next few months. Which is ridiculous. Very.

So a reigning in of emotions is required, I think. It's hard enough to stay emotionally stable without allowing a bubble of optimism inflate to bursting point. The new football season may well get off to a slow start, more Geoff Capes than Usain Bolt. Those following The Football Analyst systems for the first time may be expecting small miracles, Skeeve expected to continue where he left off, Football Elite go on a winning run of 20, and Football Investor's new Strike Zone Aways to be the dog's b's. It won't work like that though, will it? It will more likely be most weekends be win a bit/lose a bit, the odd great weekend, and the occasional weekend after which you see the bottom of the whisky bottle that was full on the Friday night, so bad has it been.

So, no more optimism. Optimism out.

I'm happier when in misery anyway.

Today's Betting

Very small profit thanks to Northern Monkey's one very shrewd bet that finished in the frame (The Rectifier - Salisbury - 33/1), and Chasemaster finding a winner (Cash Back - Stratford - 5/1) from their two selections.

PJA NH had just the one today, and that finished placed in third (Consult - Stratford - 9/1).

No returns today from On The Nose (0/1), The Market Examiner (0/1), and Winning Racing Tips (0/1).

Northern Monkey: Staked 1pt, +2.8pts.
PJA NH: Staked 0.75pts, +0.06pts.
On The Nose: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
The Market Examiner: Staked 1pt, -1pt.
Winning Racing Tips: Staked 0.8pts, -0.8pts.
Chasemaster: Staked 0.5pts, +0.425pts.

Thursday 11th August: Staked £168, +£20.
Month to date: Staked £2,061, +£546.31, roi 26.5%.
Running total (inc. fees): +£237.51, roi 2.54%.

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