Sunday, 2 September 2012

Friday's results and August Review

So Friday saw the end of summer, what there was of one, and the culmination of another month's betting.

Friday's Betting

Small profit on the day.

On The Nose
Two losing win bets but both were put in an each way double and both placed, so a very small loss on the day.
Staked 1.5pts, -0.293pts

Northern Monkey
Wayne's strong latter part of the month continued with his one selection providing a nice winner (Postscript - Sandown - 7/2).
Staked 0.75pts, +2.625pts

A tiny profit on the tennis with one winner from two bets (Mayer to bt Robredo - 1.4/1). Can't help feeling a little unfortunate as the loser came out second best after a gruelling five set marathon of a match and to my eyes, lost through sheer tiredness more than anything else.
Staked 3.5pts, +0.1pt

Form Lab Lite
A poor end to the month generally, and certainly tonight; the one bet proving to be a losing one.
Staked 1pt, -1pt

So, the end of month figures read like this...

Northern Monkey: Staked 46.375pts, +13.286pts, roi 28.65%
On The Nose: Staked 52.5pts, +13.319pts, roi 25.37%
The Sportsman Racing: Staked 4pts, -0.947pts, roi -23.68%
Winning Racing Tips: Staked 8.6pts, -0.686pts, roi -7.98%
The Market Examiner: Staked 34pts, -14.8pts, roi -43.52%
Total roi 14.64%

Football Elite: Staked 1pt, +/- (+/-£), roi 0%, ROC 0%
Summer Of Football: Staked 26pts, +9.785pts, roi 48.92%
Skeeve (Asians): Staked 17pts, +0.274pts, roi 1.61%
Skeeve (Doubles): Staked 11pts, -1.672pts, roi -15.2%
Skeeve (Shortlist): Staked 4pts, -1.188pts, roi -29.7%
Skeeve Total: Staked 32pts, -2.586pts, roi -8.08%, ROC -3.23%
The Sportsman: Staked 0.8pts, +0.084pts, roi 10.5%, ROC 1.4%
Form Lab Lite: Staked 31pts, -6.995pts, roi -22.56%, ROC -13.99%
Sportyy: Staked 48.5pts, +22.251pts, roi 45.87%, ROC 27.81%
Service X: Staked 265.2pts, +35.833pts, roi 13.51%, ROC 35.83%
Total roi 13.21%

Grand Total roi 13.62%

In terms of turnover August was very, very close to that of July, which with the return to action of Skeeve surprised me a little. This is accounted for by the lack of any action from On The Oche.

Any month in which the roi runs at over 13% has to be considered a very good one, but what is even more pleasing is that it runs hot on the heels of a good July (roi 10.43%). It is far too early to say with any real confidence, but I'm hoping that the changes I made to the portfolio in the early summer - ie. the introduction of three high turnover services - is pushing the portfolio to higher levels of consistency. No conclusions yet on this front, but the early signs are promising.

After a poor first six months to the year, it is particularly pleasing to see On The Nose post up a second consecutive strong month. Of course The Judge takes September off (as does The Market Examiner), but he must be going into the autumn with confidence boosted. That Northern Monkey too enjoyed a second straight good month, might I suggest that a mercifully dry period leading to consistent going conditions have suited these two form readers?

Great to see Sportyy have a really strong month after July's disaster. And hats off again the Summer of Football whose performance over the summer has been truly exceptional. I am now seeing prices put under some pressure, but nothing yet that raises too much cause for concern.

As for Service's a strange one. Normally, if I was regularly missing bets with a service because I couldn't get a reasonable price, I'd give it up as a bad job. But the sheer number of selections (which are prolific) and the massively high strike rate means that this doesn't really matter. Since joining, the service has been hugely consistent, and my thanks again to my friend who introduced me to it and essentially got me into the service.

The only service to disappoint this month was Form Lab Lite, and the past three months have proven to be a bit of a struggle without any real damage being inflicted. Here's hoping that the start of the new winter seasons across Europe will see it bounce back in September.

So a lot to look forward to. This time last month I was keenly anticipating the return of Skeeve and Football Elite. This month it's The Football Analyst. One note of caution though. I remember feeling similarly excited going into September 2011, only for TFA to endure what turned out to be it's worst (and really only poor) month of the year. I'm not saying that history will repeat itself, but even the best have poor months and there's nothing to say that it doesn't happen before the good times roll.

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